Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001141 0.001293 0.001447 0.001614 0.001789 0.001966 0.002159
2025-05-11 0.000864 0.001077 0.001301 0.001550 0.001820 0.002099 0.002410
2025-05-18 0.000630 0.000878 0.001149 0.001463 0.001809 0.002177 0.002594
2025-05-25 0.000477 0.000749 0.001061 0.001432 0.001852 0.002306 0.002826
2025-06-01 0.000334 0.000614 0.000951 0.001367 0.001848 0.002376 0.002990
2025-06-08 0.000242 0.000527 0.000890 0.001349 0.001892 0.002496 0.003206
2025-06-15 0.000198 0.000496 0.000891 0.001403 0.002015 0.002704 0.003517
2025-06-22 0.000131 0.000420 0.000828 0.001373 0.002037 0.002793 0.003693
2025-06-29 0.000091 0.000375 0.000801 0.001383 0.002104 0.002931 0.003923
2025-07-06 0.000082 0.000382 0.000843 0.001482 0.002276 0.003189 0.004288
2025-07-13 0.000046 0.000326 0.000793 0.001457 0.002297 0.003271 0.004450
2025-07-20 0.000016 0.000261 0.000722 0.001402 0.002276 0.003302 0.004551
2025-07-27 0.000004 0.000233 0.000716 0.001451 0.002408 0.003540 0.004925
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000160 0.000629 0.001386 0.002397 0.003610 0.005107
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000094 0.000533 0.001300 0.002356 0.003641 0.005244
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000057 0.000479 0.001269 0.002383 0.003755 0.005478
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000023 0.000408 0.001205 0.002364 0.003810 0.005640
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000008 0.000369 0.001188 0.002404 0.003936 0.005885
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000004 0.000372 0.001238 0.002534 0.004174 0.006265
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000331 0.001210 0.002555 0.004274 0.006478
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000313 0.001219 0.002628 0.004438 0.006767
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000341 0.001312 0.002817 0.004749 0.007232
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001289 0.002842 0.004851 0.007445